Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:29 PM, 227 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 208,319 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 170,442 - 259,409). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 12:29 PM 3060 c(2.5% = 2747) c(97.5% = 3445)
02 12:29 PM 4947 c(2.5% = 4327) c(97.5% = 5661)
03 12:29 PM 2633 c(2.5% = 2110) c(97.5% = 3446)
04 12:29 PM 2604 c(2.5% = 2011) c(97.5% = 3557)
05 12:29 PM 7195 c(2.5% = 6214) c(97.5% = 8335)
06 12:29 PM 1797 c(2.5% = 1520) c(97.5% = 2263)
07 12:29 PM 1617 c(2.5% = 906) c(97.5% = 2436)
08 12:29 PM 6738 c(2.5% = 5824) c(97.5% = 7766)
09 12:29 PM 3189 c(2.5% = 2828) c(97.5% = 3851)
10 12:29 PM 3831 c(2.5% = 3231) c(97.5% = 5149)
11 12:29 PM 1640 c(2.5% = 1246) c(97.5% = 2326)
12 12:29 PM 2879 c(2.5% = 2330) c(97.5% = 3734)
13 12:29 PM 2575 c(2.5% = 2036) c(97.5% = 3457)
14 12:29 PM 1169 c(2.5% = 1006) c(97.5% = 1453)
15 12:29 PM 3518 c(2.5% = 3053) c(97.5% = 4112)
16 12:29 PM 1361 c(2.5% = 983) c(97.5% = 1914)
17 12:29 PM 3177 c(2.5% = 2521) c(97.5% = 4209)
18 12:29 PM 3035 c(2.5% = 2540) c(97.5% = 3310)
19 12:29 PM 1230 c(2.5% = 760) c(97.5% = 1757)
20 12:29 PM 1287 c(2.5% = 919) c(97.5% = 1734)
21 12:29 PM 7738 c(2.5% = 6497) c(97.5% = 9096)
22 12:29 PM 4215 c(2.5% = 3708) c(97.5% = 5495)
23 12:29 PM 2409 c(2.5% = 1773) c(97.5% = 3119)
24 12:29 PM 2096 c(2.5% = 1633) c(97.5% = 2520)
25 12:29 PM 1984 c(2.5% = 1394) c(97.5% = 2559)
26 12:29 PM 2980 c(2.5% = 2516) c(97.5% = 3450)
27 12:29 PM 3909 c(2.5% = 2900) c(97.5% = 4477)
28 12:29 PM 1447 c(2.5% = 1053) c(97.5% = 2081)
29 12:29 PM 1519 c(2.5% = 1273) c(97.5% = 1905)
30 12:29 PM 3179 c(2.5% = 2862) c(97.5% = 3781)
31 12:29 PM 2730 c(2.5% = 2265) c(97.5% = 3048)
32 12:29 PM 2426 c(2.5% = 1764) c(97.5% = 3308)
33 12:29 PM 1951 c(2.5% = 1152) c(97.5% = 2813)
34 12:29 PM 5538 c(2.5% = 4689) c(97.5% = 6897)
35 12:29 PM 3700 c(2.5% = 2630) c(97.5% = 4830)
36 12:29 PM 4596 c(2.5% = 3908) c(97.5% = 5536)
37 12:29 PM 1546 c(2.5% = 1090) c(97.5% = 2133)
38 12:29 PM 2795 c(2.5% = 2396) c(97.5% = 3398)
39 12:29 PM 5753 c(2.5% = 4793) c(97.5% = 6617)
40 12:29 PM 5736 c(2.5% = 4492) c(97.5% = 7076)
41 12:29 PM 2182 c(2.5% = 1507) c(97.5% = 2813)
42 12:29 PM 2784 c(2.5% = 1924) c(97.5% = 3793)
43 12:29 PM 2117 c(2.5% = 1382) c(97.5% = 2980)
44 12:29 PM 1753 c(2.5% = 1353) c(97.5% = 2377)
45 12:29 PM 2517 c(2.5% = 1836) c(97.5% = 3214)
46 12:29 PM 3517 c(2.5% = 3208) c(97.5% = 4447)
47 12:29 PM 1088 c(2.5% = 848) c(97.5% = 1380)
48 12:29 PM 2569 c(2.5% = 2044) c(97.5% = 3146)
49 12:29 PM 3196 c(2.5% = 2513) c(97.5% = 4162)
50 12:29 PM 4557 c(2.5% = 3944) c(97.5% = 6270)
51 12:29 PM 2860 c(2.5% = 2295) c(97.5% = 3793)
52 12:29 PM 3581 c(2.5% = 3083) c(97.5% = 4733)
53 12:29 PM 2486 c(2.5% = 1759) c(97.5% = 3232)
54 12:29 PM 1764 c(2.5% = 1123) c(97.5% = 2362)
55 12:29 PM 2845 c(2.5% = 1989) c(97.5% = 3641)
56 12:29 PM 4225 c(2.5% = 3153) c(97.5% = 5270)
57 12:29 PM 3726 c(2.5% = 2904) c(97.5% = 4632)
58 12:29 PM 6212 c(2.5% = 4729) c(97.5% = 7738)
59 12:29 PM 3113 c(2.5% = 2578) c(97.5% = 3914)
60 12:29 PM 2460 c(2.5% = 2030) c(97.5% = 3166)
61 12:29 PM 3799 c(2.5% = 2977) c(97.5% = 4831)
62 12:29 PM 2649 c(2.5% = 1767) c(97.5% = 3500)
63 12:29 PM 3560 c(2.5% = 2927) c(97.5% = 4308)
64 12:29 PM 1952 c(2.5% = 1427) c(97.5% = 2469)
65 12:29 PM 2898 c(2.5% = 2279) c(97.5% = 3569)
66 12:29 PM 6183 c(2.5% = 4830) c(97.5% = 7675)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions